NOAA Predicts ‘Above Average’ Hurricane Season in 2025
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has released its official outlook for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, forecasting an “above average” level of activity. This prediction raises concerns for coastal communities and emergency management officials as the region braces for potentially intense storms.
According to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, the 2025 season—which runs from June 1 through November 30—could see a significantly higher number of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes compared to the historical average. The forecast calls for:
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17 to 25 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher)
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8 to 13 hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher)
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4 to 7 major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher, with winds of 111 mph or more)
This heightened activity is influenced by several factors, including near-record warm ocean temperatures in the Atlantic, the anticipated development of La Niña conditions in the Pacific, and reduced wind shear—all of which create a more favorable environment for storm formation and strengthening.
NOAA Administrator Rick Spinrad emphasized the importance of preparation:
“With another active hurricane season approaching, now is the time for communities to ensure they have a plan in place. These storms can be devastating, and being ready can save lives and property.”
The agency encourages residents in hurricane-prone areas to review emergency plans, gather supplies, and stay informed through official weather updates. As climate change continues to affect weather patterns, NOAA’s data-driven forecasting plays a crucial role in helping mitigate the impact of severe storms.
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